August 11, 2020
AUD/NZD Double Top Trade Setup
Palladium trade setup Nov 14 2019

AUD/NZD Double Top Trade Setup

From my earlier post, the EUR/CAD trade setup reached first target. While AUD/USD trade setup unfolded as expected.

Trade setups for today: AUD/NZD completed a topping pattern. EUR/NZD bearish breakout and Palladium retest process probably completed.

Trade Setup 1: AUD/NZD Upside Pullbacks Are Probably Shorting Opportunities

AUD/NZD Trade Setup Daily Chart Nov 14
AUD/NZD Trade Setup Daily Chart Nov 14

A simple setup based on major double top pattern completion. The price has broken below the neckline of the pattern around 1.0665. Any upside pullback towards the pattern neckline is a new opportunity to short.

I would short on a simple retest, or before reaching it f the price prints a long bearish candle, such as a shooting star over the four or eight hour time interval below 1.0665. My main target is around the 200 days simple moving average around 1.0550 areas.

In the case of the price retesting 1.0665, my stop would be just above 1.0710. That would yield a trade with just better than 1:2 risk to reward.

Trade Setup 2: EURNZD Retest and Bearish Resumption

EUR/NZD Trade Setup Daily Chart Nov 25
EURNZD Trade Setup Daily Chart Nov 25

EURNZD may have completed a retest to the broken key support turned resistance at 1.7300 area. I am looking for a downside move at least towards the most recent swing low at 1.7150. Then the area near the 200 day simple moving average and next key swing low around 1.7000 level.

Trade Setup 3: Palladium May Resume the Most Recent Bearish wave

Palladium Trade Setup Daily Chart Nov 25
Palladium Trade Setup Daily Chart Nov 25

The price has broken below its medium term rising trend line in addition to a key swing low at 1733. That break was followed by an upside move and evidence so far suggests its a corrective pullback towards the broken rising trend line and swing low, as the price has formed multiple rejection candle with long upper shadows, meaning every upside attempt was faced by renewed selling.

My first target is at the most recent swing low at 1680, followed by 1632 next key swing low and potential support level.

 

Trade with care
Technician

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